Finding value
Edge is a gap between your probability and the price. Finding value is the practical skill of spotting that gap before the market closes it.
Your number vs. the market's number
Every price implies a probability. Value exists only when your own, better-informed estimate is higher than the one baked into the price.
Without a probability of your own, you cannot know whether there is value — you are just guessing at prices.
Devig to see the true price
A market's implied probabilities add up to more than 100% because of the broker's margin. Removing that margin — devigging — reveals the price's honest probability.
That devigged number is the real benchmark your estimate has to beat before a position is +EV.
Line shopping turns small edges into real ones
The same position is priced differently across brokers. Consistently taking the best available number adds free edge to every position, and over a season it is often the difference between winning and losing.
Where value actually hides
Efficient markets like major closing lines are hard to beat. Value survives longest in softer, earlier or niche markets — and Yoseri scans 100+ brokers to surface it automatically.
Theory is nice. Edges pay.
Yoseri does the pricing, edge and portfolio math for you — free to start, no card.