You take a position at 2.10. By kickoff, the market has pushed that price down to 1.90. Win or lose that night, you've just done something rare: you got in at a better price than the final market. That's — closing line value.
Why does it matter? Because the is the best-informed price of the whole cycle: it's where the most money and information have poured in. Beating that price consistently is the statistical signature of a real .
The reverse is true too. You can string together winning positions and still destroy your capital long term, if you routinely get in worse than the close. One night's score lies; CLV, over hundreds of positions, doesn't.
The angle. Don't judge your method by your weekend balance. Judge it by one question: do you beat, on average, the closing price? If yes, the rest eventually follows. If not, you just got lucky.
Yoseri News is an educational outlet. Nothing in this article is investment advice.